For Russia as a developing country..........

Barack Obama has demanded that the leaders of the U.S. Congress to reach an agreement to increase the size limit debt in the morning Saturday. If Congress does not obey the president and tightened with the problem in the United States will be declared a technical default. And then Russia expect economic woes harder than in 2008. "For Russia as a developing country, this means huge numbers of capital outflow, reducing investment in fixed assets. In this case, if earlier somewhere there were crises and defaults, then all the investors are left just as U.S. bonds. Given default as the U.S. economy one of the few outlets remain a withdrawal in cash flow, leading to a significant acceleration of inflation as money supply grows M2, the national currency will depreciate, "- says the analyst of" Investkafe "Anton Safonov. According to experts, this will lead to more serious consequences than the crisis of 2008. Further developments will depend on how quickly the global economy can be reconstructed as quickly, all calculations in world trade will translate into another currency, etc. "Debt United States for many decades considered the de facto" gold standard "for safety, - develops the theme of Head of Investment Management IFC" Solid "Michael Korolyuk. - Many large institutional investors (pension funds and insurance companies, etc.) are allowed to invest part of their assets (which is trillions of dollars) only in instruments with the highest reliability. This is clearly spelled out in their papers. U.S. defaulted and reduced ratings of debt securities in the United States will lead to the fact that these trillions of dollars will be required to get out of debt the U.S. and find another use. The effect on world financial markets of the capital flows can be compared to an elephant dancing on board the canoe. " "It will be worse than in 1998 - says asset manager FG" BrokerCreditService "Nicholas Solabuto. - Prices will fall for anything. Mass layoffs, reduced wages. Salary of $ 400 will be very solid. " According to experts, primarily as a litmus test of the stock market will react - it will fall first. Then crawl up bank rates, 200% per year will be the norm for deposits. And at least lower the price of real estate: a successful transaction will be the implementation of housing at $ 700 per square meter of Moscow real estate. "The state is to support people who will create jobs - says Solabuto. - Specially abandon construction equipment to be more jobs. Imagine building a picture of a tall building, surrounded by forest, like ants, people will carry the bricks. " Recall, for today's state debt ceiling of U.S. $ 14.3 trillion, and its growth is prohibited by law. Prior to 2 August Congress must approve a budget plan for 2012 fiscal year, and expected revenues (excluding debt growth plates) for the implementation of Washington's plans are not enough. If the plan is approved, the country will declare a technical default, ie failure to meet its debts. Accordingly, the Democrats need to raise borrowing limit to $ 2.4 trillion, the Republicans - to give a ten-year plan to reduce state spending by $ 2 trillion. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke warned of that, if agreement is not signed until August 2, there may come a severe recession. The State will have to reduce payments to state employees, including retirees. For its part, the rating agency Moody's Investors Service said that if lawmakers did not raise limits on public debt, the U.S. could lose the highest credit rating. And on Thursday, Obama gave the negotiators time to Saturday morning. By this time, Democrats and Republicans should by all means come to an agreement. And few people want to believe that the parties can not agree. It is therefore not yet been tremendous crash in the stock market. "Despite the approaching deadline, the markets no real excitement. Everyone understands that this is political theater, where everyone is trying to earn extra points in the eyes of voters. Indeed, in 2012, held elections for president and congressional elections ", - says head of analytical department of the IR" Grandis Capital "Denis Barabanov. If the amount of debt will be increased, and the U.S. will avoid a default, then Russia as a whole can sleep peacefully. "Nothing has changed, and everything will remain in place in parts of the world economy and world trade - said Safonov. - The problem with the ceiling in the U.S. national debt rose repeatedly, and always successfully solved. " Korolyuk more cautious in his predictions. "Everything depends on the details - he said. - In general, we are talking about a substantial reduction in U.S. government spending ("belt-tightening"). This can easily lead to the next episode of the U.S. recession (in 2012), which will significantly cheaper oil and metals, with all its attendant unpleasant consequences for Russia. " In general, the exact opposite situation is reminiscent of a fairy tale about Malchish-Kibalchish. There main burzhuiny instruct the prisoner to ask: "Is there, Malchish, the secret passage in your country all other countries, according to which as you clicked, so we are responding as you sing, so we have picked up that you have would say over our thinking? ". In the current situation of such a tunnel, apparently, is. Halloo to one another not only by our burzhuiny fads, and to us - from overseas.